Central Grisons and Anterior Rhine

Zervreila

Sun 15 Feb Sunrise 08:27 18:48 Snow

Hard-to-read day. Persistent or gliding-snow problems can mask the real risk.

Day Risk Profile

Considerable
All day

Avalanche Problems

Dry snow level 3 Wind slab + Persistent weak layers dry All day
All aspects
above 2000m
As a consequence of a strong northerly wind, avalanche prone wind slabs formed during the night especially adjacent to ridgelines and in pass areas. The fresh and somewhat older wind slabs are lying on top of a weakly bonded old snowpack. Avalanches can still be released easily. They can be triggered in deep layers and reach large size in isolated cases. The avalanche prone locations are prevalent. Remotely triggered avalanches are to be expected. Whumpfing sounds and the formation of shooting cracks when stepping on the snowpack and fresh avalanches indicate the danger. Backcountry touring and other off-piste activities call for extensive experience in the assessment of avalanche danger and restraint.

Snowpack & Weather

Snowpack
  • Westernmost Lower Valais, northern Valais, Vaud Alps: the considerable amount of new and drifted snow resulting from the intensive precipitation of the past few days is still prone to triggering in places. This snow lies on an old snowpack whose central section contains weak layers in some parts. Avalanches can be triggered mainly at transitions from a shallow to a deep snowpack.
  • Southern Valais, Ticino, Grisons: the old snowpack is very weak and contains distinct weak layers in the middle and lower part of the snowpack that are prone to triggering. Avalanches can easily be triggered by human activity in these layers and fractures in the snowpack can propagate over long distances. Avalanches may be very large, especially in southern Valais. Here, the new and drifted snow of the last few days has formed into a very unfavourable combination of layers on top of the weak old snowpack.
  • Central and eastern parts of the northern flank of the Alps: there are also weak layers in some parts of the old snowpack in these regions. However, avalanches are triggered less frequently in these layers. Below approximately 1800 m, the snowpack has been soaked by the rain.
  • Prealps: newer snowdrift accumulations lie on a mostly favourable snowpack, but are still prone to triggering in places.
Weather review for Saturday

It was very cloudy and there was some precipitation at times, falling as snow above approximately 1200 m.

Fresh snow

From Friday to Saturday evening above 1400 m:

  • Westernmost Lower Valais, Vaud Alps, Simplon region, western Ticino: 10 to 15 cm
  • Elsewhere a widespread few centimetres

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, around -2 °C

Wind

  • Moderate to strong southerly winds during the night
  • Light during the day, increasingly moderate towards the evening from the north
Weather forecast to Sunday

During Sunday night into Monday, some more snow will fall in the north down to low altitudes. The precipitation will end in the early morning and there will be sunny spells in the afternoon. It will be dry and quite sunny in the south.

Fresh snow

From Saturday evening to Sunday morning:

  • Northern flank of the Alps 10 to 15 cm, locally more
  • Elsewhere a few centimetres over a wide area; dry in the south

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m -6 °C in the north and -1 °C in the south

Wind

  • There will be a moderate northerly wind during the night, which will be strong along the Main Alpine Ridge and south of it
  • Moderate during the day, strong towards the evening from westerly directions
Outlook to Tuesday

From Sunday evening onwards, a significant northwesterly trend will set in, bringing heavy snowfall to the northern flanks of the Alps and Valais. The snowfall level will rise temporarily to 1400 m overnight to Monday and fall below 1000 m on Monday; on Tuesday it will be between 500 and 800 m. By Tuesday evening, between 70 and 110 cm of snow is expected to fall in the regions exposed to heavier precipitation in western Valais and on the northern Alpine ridge, and even more in some localities. Otherwise, around 60 cm of snow is expected to fall, except in the south. There will be a strong to storm force westerly wind.

On Monday, the avalanche danger will increase to danger level 4 (high) as a result of the intense precipitation and the storm force westerly winds on the northern flank of the Alps and in Valais. Numerous naturally triggered medium and large avalanches are to be expected. Exposed parts of transportation routes may be at risk. The danger is also expected to increase to level 4 in northern and central Grisons as the day progresses. The danger in this region will initially mainly affect alpine snow sports terrain.

On Tuesday, the avalanche danger will increase further with more snowfall within the current danger level 4 (high). Danger level 4 conditions will also be widespread across the remaining areas of Grisons. In Valais and on the northern Alpine ridge, very large avalanches are to be expected, which will reach down into the valleys along the usual avalanche paths and endanger exposed parts of transportation routes. In the affected areas of Grisons, many medium and large avalanches are expected due to the weak but thin snowpack.

Issued

15 Feb 07:00 UTC

Valid until

15 Feb 16:00 UTC

Next update

15 Feb 16:00 UTC

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