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Ticino Sopraceneri

Mendrisiotto

Fri 30 Jan

Avalanche Problems

Considerable (3-), lower end of the band Dry avalanches · all day
Dry snow level 3 New snow 3-
N, NE, E, W, NW
above 1800m
The new snow and wind slabs are lying on the unfavourable surface of an Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary in particular on steep west, north and east facing slopes. Single winter sport participants can release avalanches, including medium-sized ones. Backcountry touring and other off-piste activities call for experience in the assessment of avalanche danger.
Field notes

Easy to spot - the snow is fresh. Look at recent avalanche activity in similar terrain, and pay attention to how much new snow has fallen in the last three days. Critical loading depends on temperature, wind, and what was on the surface before the storm. SLF advises waiting until the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary has had time to bond before committing to steep terrain in fresh snow.

Source: SLF Avalanche Bulletin Interpretation Guide

Snowpack & Weather

Snowpack

On the southern flank of the Alps and in Upper Engadine, the last six days’ fresh and drifted snow has been deposited on a weak Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary, resulting in numerous medium-sized and indeed large spontaneous avalanches. In these regions, avalanches can still be triggered very easily in the Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary in many areas, including remotely. Avalanches are also to be expected deeper in the snowpack in the inneralpine regions of Valais and Grisons, especially on northern and eastern slopes. The avalanche situation requires patience.

North of a line from the Rhône to the Rhine, snowdrift accumulations, some of which are prone to triggering, have formed in recent days, and these are now covered with fresh snow. On Friday, the westerly winds will result in mostly small snowdrift accumulations. Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary deeper in the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary are less prone to triggering in these regions and such hazardous zones are rarer than in other regions.

Weather review for Thursday

In the south, precipitation ended during the night to Thursday, but only over the course of the day in the north. Conditions brightened up quickly in the west and south, while the east remained cloudy with light snowfall. The snowfall level dropped to between 600 and 1000 m.

Fresh snow

From Wednesday to Thursday afternoon, above approximately 1000 m:

  • in the north 5 to 10 cm, locally up to 15 cm
  • in the south and in Grisons 10 to 15 cm

In total, the following amounts have fallen above approximately 1500 m in the two days since midday on Tuesday:

  • Jura, central part of the southern flank of the Alps, Upper Engadine, Val Bregaglia, Val Poschiavo: 20 to 40 cm
  • otherwise a widespread 10 to 20 cm, with up to 30 cm in the far west
  • northern flank of the Alps east of the Reuss, Prättigau, central parts of central Grisons: 5 to 10 cm

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, around -6°C in the north and -3°C in the south

Wind

  • Moderate to strong westerly to northwesterly at times in the north overnight, mostly light to moderate during the day
  • Light to moderate northerly in the south, briefly moderate to strong northerly foehn wind in the morning
Weather forecast to Friday

In the west and north conditions will be mostly very cloudy with light precipitation from the morning onwards. The snowfall level will be between 600 and 1000 m. There will be sunny intervals on the Main Alpine Ridge in Valais and in the rest of Grisons, and it will be mostly sunny on the southern flank of the Alps and in Engadine.

Fresh snow

From Friday morning to Friday afternoon above approximately 1200 m:

  • 5 to 10 cm in the west, with up to 15 cm in the far west of Lower Valais on the border with France and in the western Jura
  • elsewhere less or dry

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, around -4°C

Wind

  • Freshening to moderate to strong westerly overnight in the west and north
  • Light to moderate westerly to northwesterly in the south
Outlook to Sunday

On Saturday, conditions will be mostly cloudy in the west with light precipitation, especially in the Jura. The east will be very sunny at first, becoming increasingly cloudy as the day progresses. During the night to Sunday there will be some widespread precipitation in the west, with a total of 5 to 10 cm of snow falling above approximately 1200 m by Sunday morning. On Sunday, the north will be very sunny, with the west turning increasingly sunny. In the south, both days will be mostly sunny with broken cloud cover. Winds will be light to moderate from westerly directions.

There will be barely any change to the avalanche hazard on Saturday, but it will decrease somewhat in the north on Sunday. In inneralpine regions and in the south, avalanche hazard will decrease only very slowly due to the weak Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary. The situation for snow sports remains critical away from marked and open pistes.

Source

SLF

Issued

30 Jan 07:00 UTC

Valid until

30 Jan 16:00 UTC

Next update

30 Jan 16:00 UTC

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