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Ticino Sopraceneri

Untere Maggiatäler

Sun 11 Jan

Avalanche Problems

Moderate (2-), lower end of the band Dry avalanches · all day
Dry snow level 2 Wind slab + Persistent weak layers 2-
N, NE, E, SE, W, NW
above 2200m
Fresh and older wind slabs are lying on Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary in particular on shady slopes. They are mostly small but in some cases prone to triggering. They are to be evaluated with care and prudence in very steep terrain. Careful route selection is recommended.
Field notes

Wind slab

Look for fresh snow deposits on Slope facing downwind/ wind sheltered aspect. Snow deposits can attain several times average snow depth.EAWS glossary, in Usually a steep, elongated, eroded trench; typically prone to snowdrift accumulation.EAWS glossary and Rounded or elongated concavity; typically tending to accumulate snowdrift.EAWS glossary, and behind ridgelines and abrupt changes in terrain — these are where the wind has loaded the snow into slabs that are easy to trigger. Recent avalanches, shooting cracks under your weight, and Distinctive noise (resembling a “whumpf” sound) occurring when a weak layer beneath a slab collapses. The air of the weak layer is forced outside the snowpack, with the resulting whumpf sound being heard. The sound usually indicates an unstable situation and can be accompanied by surface cracking. A whumpf is a clear avalanche alert.EAWS glossary sounds are clear confirmations of the problem. The safest move is to avoid wind-loaded terrain entirely. NB wind signs alone don't always mean an avalanche problem exists, and the age of drifted snow is hard to judge.

Persistent weak layers

Persistent Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary are very challenging to recognise. Distinctive noise (resembling a “whumpf” sound) occurring when a weak layer beneath a slab collapses. The air of the weak layer is forced outside the snowpack, with the resulting whumpf sound being heard. The sound usually indicates an unstable situation and can be accompanied by surface cracking. A whumpf is a clear avalanche alert.EAWS glossary sounds and shooting cracks are typical when present, but you can have a serious weak layer with no warning signs at the surface. Knowledge of how the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary has evolved is essential. SLF's travel advice is direct: travel conservatively, avoid terrain where the consequences of being caught are large, and treat the history of weather and snow as more important than what you can see today. Read the full bulletin.

Source: SLF Avalanche Bulletin Interpretation Guide

Snowpack & Weather

Snowpack

Especially on wind-protected shady slopes, fresh and drifted snow has been deposited on an old snow surface which is faceted in many places, or on Transparent, frequently flat crystals forming on the snowpack when moist air settles on the surface. It forms most often during cold, clear, humid nights. Once it is blanketed by fresh fallen snow, surface hoar is one of the most critical weak layer. See also: www.snowcrystals.itEAWS glossary. The connection to the old snow surface is therefore poor in many places. Deeper layers of the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary are relatively well consolidated in the extreme west of Lower Valais and on the northern flank of the Alps. South of a line from the Rhône to the Rhine, the entire snowpack is often faceted and loose. In these regions, avalanches can start deeper in the snowpack.

Numerous natural avalanches, as well as various avalanches triggered by human activity, some remotely over relatively large distances, are evidence of the current widespread instability of the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary. On Sunday, avalanches may be easily triggered by human activity in many areas, especially on the northern flanks of the Alps, in Valais and in northern Grisons.

Weather review for Saturday

There was heavy cloud cover with snowfall down to low altitudes in the north, while conditions were very sunny in the south.

Fresh snow

Between midday on Friday and midday on Saturday, a further 20 to 40 cm of snow fell on the northern Alpine ridge between Les Diablerets and the Aletsch region and in the extreme west of Lower Valais. This means that the following amounts of snow have fallen in total above 1400 m since the start of the precipitation on Wednesday evening:

  • northern Alpine ridge from Les Diablerets to the Aletsch region, extreme west of Lower Valais: 70 to 110 cm
  • remaining northern flank of the Alps from the Vaud Alps to the Glarus Alps apart from the Prealps, southern Valais between Val Ferret and Mattertal: 40 to 70 cm
  • Jura, other regions of Upper Valais and the northern flank of the Alps, Bedretto, northern Grisons, Lower Engadine north of the Inn: 20 to 40 cm
  • rest of northern Ticino, central Grisons, Upper Engadine: 10 to 20 cm
  • further south: less or dry

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, around -10°C in the north and -7°C in the south

Wind

Strong westerly to northwesterly, especially in the west and north

Weather forecast to Sunday

Snow will stop falling in the north overnight to Sunday. Conditions will be sunny in Valais and on the southern flank of the Alps during the day. Conditions will also become increasingly sunny in the north over the course of the day.

Fresh snow

From Sunday afternoon to Monday morning above approximately 1200 m:

  • northern flank of the Alps from the Bernese Oberland to the Alpstein region: 15 to 30 cm
  • remaining northern flank of the Alps, northern Valais, northern Grisons: 10 to 20 cm
  • southern Lower Valais, central Grisons, Engadine north of the Inn: 5 to 10 cm
  • elsewhere a few centimetres or dry

Temperature

At midday at 2000 m, around -9°C

Wind

  • On the southern flank of the Alps and generally in Areas above approximately 3000 m (particularly glaciated areas).EAWS glossary: moderate to strong from northerly directions, otherwise mainly light
  • Subsiding over the course of the day
Outlook to Tuesday

There will be some snowfall in the north overnight to Monday and on Monday morning. On Monday, conditions will be mainly overcast in the north and very sunny in the south. On Tuesday, conditions will often be cloudy in the east and south and very sunny in the west. There will be moderate, occasionally strong, westerly to southwesterly winds on Monday in the Prealps and generally at high altitudes, while winds will mainly be moderate at high altitudes on Tuesday. Temperatures will become milder again and the zero-degree level will rise to around 2600 m in the west and north on Tuesday.

The danger of dry avalanches will decrease in those regions exposed to heavier precipitation. However, especially in those regions to the south of a line from the Rhône to the Rhine, the weak Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary means that this decrease will be only very slow. Given the rising temperatures and sunny conditions, moist snow slides and avalanches are to be expected on very steep slopes. There will be scarcely any change in avalanche danger on the southern flank of the Alps.

Source

SLF

Issued

11 Jan 06:44 UTC

Valid until

11 Jan 16:00 UTC

Next update

11 Jan 16:00 UTC

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