Churfirsten and Rhine Valley
Stable day. Low, with only wet snow named — visible where it sits, and easy to go round.
In the regions south of a line from the Rhône to the Rhine, the persistent Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary that have persisted since the beginning of January are still present. The number of places where human activity can trigger avalanches in the weak layers of the Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary has now decreased significantly. However, any avalanches may still become large.
In the regions north of a line from the Rhône to the Rhine and in the extreme west of Lower Valais, the Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary in the Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary are thickly covered and triggering by human activity is therefore unlikely. The danger here is primarily due to drifted new snow.
With temperatures falling, further moistening of the Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary and deeper Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary has slowed down. Gliding avalanche activity has also decreased significantly over the last few days.
Overnight to Thursday, some snow fell above approximately 1400 m. Over the course of the day, conditions gradually became sunny in the west and south, but the northern flank of the Alps and northern Grisons saw only sunny intervals.
From Wednesday evening to Thursday morning, above 1600 m:
At midday at 2000 m, between -1 °C in the north and +2 °C in the south
Skies will mostly be clear overnight to Friday. During the day, conditions will mostly be sunny in the north, with sunny intervals in the south.
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At midday at 2000 m, between +2 °C in the north and -1 °C in the south
In the south, there will be precipitation, which will be heavy from Saturday morning to Sunday morning. In the north, precipitation will move in from the west on Saturday, while there will be broken cloud with isolated showers on Sunday. The snowfall level will drop from 1500 m to around 1200 m in the south and to low altitudes in the north. A total of 60 to 80 cm of snow will fall on the main Alpine ridge from Monte Rosa to the San Bernardino Pass and south of there, while around 100 cm will fall in western Ticino. Around 50 cm of fresh snow will fall on the rest of the main Alpine ridge between the Great St. Bernard and Bernina Pass and on the central part of the northern flank of the Alps, with less falling elsewhere. There will be moderate to strong winds from southerly directions on Saturday which will then ease.
The wind and fresh snow mean that the danger of dry avalanches will increase in many areas, significantly so on the central part of the main Alpine ridge and south of there, where increasing numbers of naturally triggered avalanches are to be expected. The danger level may rise to 4 (high) overnight to Sunday, while in western Ticino an increase to level 4 (high) is probable.
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