Churfirsten and Rhine Valley
Persistent, heavy snowfall and strong northwesterly winds resulted in the formation of further extensive snowdrift accumulations on Tuesday. This week’s sometimes thick layers of fresh and drifted snow are very prone to triggering. Many large and very large naturally triggered avalanches have occurred in the last few days. There have also been some isolated extremely large avalanches. Natural avalanche activity will decrease as the snowfall subsides, although isolated naturally triggered avalanches will still be possible overnight to Wednesday. This is particularly the case on the northern Alpine ridge, in Valais, in the Gotthard region, in northern Ticino, in northern Grisons and in the Lower Engadine north of the Inn.
The fresh and drifted snow layers in southern Valais, northern Ticino and Grisons are less thick than further north and are lying on an unstable Snow layers deposited from earlier precipitation, prior to fresh fallen snow. Old snow layers consist of metamorphosed snow crystals.EAWS glossary with pronounced Snowpack layer in which the crystals are poorly bonded and the layer has the potential to fail. Typical crystals in dry weak layers causing avalanches are : precipitation particles; surface hoar; faceted crystals; hollow crystals; graupel. Generally >1mm in size, loose grains with few bonds Wet weak layers can be formed by all snow crystal/grain types.EAWS glossary. Dangerously large avalanches can easily be triggered by human activity, even over relatively large distances.
There was heavy cloud cover and widespread snowfall down to low altitudes. In Valais and on the northern Alpine ridge, snowfall was very heavy at times with more falling than expected in some regions. In the northwest, the snowfall level rose to around 1500 m over the course of the day. Conditions were very sunny in the far south.
From Monday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon above approximately 1800 m:
Total snowfall from Sunday evening to Tuesday afternoon above around 1800 m:
At midday at 2000 m in the northwest around -2 °C, otherwise around -6 °C
Northwesterly: mainly strong in the Alps, storm-force in the Jura, moderate in Ticino
Snowfall will come to an end overnight to Wednesday and there will be a short break in the precipitation. Precipitation will set in again from the west on Wednesday morning. To start with, snow will fall down to low altitudes while the snowfall level will rise to 1500 m in the west and 1300 m in the east over the course of the day. South of the main Alpine ridge, conditions will remain dry and occasionally sunny.
From Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon above approximately 1800 m:
At midday at 2000 m around -2 °C in the west and around -4 °C in the south and east
Thursday will mainly be cloudy. Winds will initially be moderate to strong from the southwest, becoming moderate to strong from the northwest over the course of the day. There will be some widespread snowfall above approximately 1000 m with most falling in the west, where 20 to 40 cm of snow is possible.
On Friday, conditions will be cloudy in the north and snow will fall down to low altitudes. Up to 20 cm of snow is possible in the west and up to 40 cm in the north, but the precipitation forecast is still very uncertain. Conditions will mainly be sunny in the south. A moderate to strong northwesterly wind will continue overnight to Friday, easing somewhat over the course of the day.
Avalanche danger will decrease with very large naturally triggered avalanches only remaining possible in very isolated cases. Human activity may trigger avalanches, especially in near-surface layers in the western and northern regions exposed to heavier precipitation. In southern Valais, northern Ticino and Grisons, avalanche danger will decrease only slowly due to the weak Snow deposited on the ground in a multiplicity of layers.EAWS glossary structure and lighter snow cover. In these regions, conditions for touring and off-piste skiing remain critical in many places.
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